India's coffee production for the 2024/25 market year is projected to remain around 6 million 60-kilo bags despite facing climatic challenges, according to the USDA Foreign Agriculture Service. The usual biennial production upswing is being offset by a prolonged dry period following unusually heavy rains. Both robusta and arabica varieties are affected, with robusta, which constitutes over 70% of India’s coffee crop, facing particular challenges. The blossoming period critical for crop yield has been disrupted, potentially decreasing yield per hectare slightly. However, robusta remains favored due to its resilience and high market prices. Domestic demand in India is rising, particularly for instant coffee, which could further strain robusta supplies. Export demand remains strong, albeit hampered by high farmgate prices in India, driven by a global surge in coffee prices.
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